What Will It Take for Automakers to Meet California’s EV Requirements? Not as Much as You Might Think.
California’s Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) regulation has been instrumental in catalyzing the EV market, and has also long been a source of complaint for automakers. When the ZEV rule covering the 2018 through 2025 time period was initially adopted in 2012, California’s Air Resources Board (CARB) estimated it would require over 15 percent of new cars in 2025 to be electric drive vehicles – a figure still cited in media stories about the rules. However, that number is no longer accurate. The ZEV program will require less than 8 percent EV sales by 2025 and recent sales figures show that several automakers are already well on their way to meeting this target in California.
The Electric-Car Boom Is So Real Even Oil Companies Say It’s Coming
Electric cars are coming fast -- and that’s not just the opinion of carmakers anymore. Total SA, one of the world’s biggest oil producers, is now saying EVs may constitute almost a third of new-car sales by the end of the next decade. The surge in battery powered vehicles will cause demand for oil-based fuels to peak in the 2030s, Total Chief Energy Economist Joel Couse said at Bloomberg New Energy Finance’s conference in New York on Tuesday. EVs will make up 15 percent to 30 percent of new vehicles by 2030, after which fuel “demand will flatten out,” Couse said. “Maybe even decline.”
Consumer Appetite for Electric Vehicles Rivals Pickups
Despite lower gas prices, a new AAA study reveals that consumer interest in electric vehicles remains high, with the survey showing that more than 30 million Americans are likely to buy an electric vehicle for their next car. With rising sales, longer ranges and lower costs, AAA predicts a strong future for electric vehicles, and announces the top electric, hybrid and other efficient vehicles in its independent, rigorous test-track evaluation.
EVs Charging Up: Sales Beating Hybrid Intro 2017 Expected to Be a Record Year
A new analysis of manufacturer sales predictions has 2017 EV sales increasing by over 100%, compared to 2016. The Tesla Model 3 and Chevrolet Bolt are expected to lead sales, with the Chevrolet Volt close behind. “This increase in highly efficient, high tech electric vehicles is directly attributed to compliance with federal and California fuel efficiency standards” said Jack Gillis, CFA’s Director of Public Affairs and author, The Car Book and the new Snapshot Guide to Electric Vehicles.
Clean Vehicle Standards Are Already Creating Jobs. Why Aren’t We Celebrating That?
In fact, the innovation to make U.S. vehicles much more efficient, and the investment in American factories to build the technology to do so, has been a key part of the automotive recovery and it remains critical if the U.S. is going to protect the jobs we have today, and keep building jobs as an automotive and technological leader into the future.
LAPD to begin using the world’s first ‘pursuit-rated’ hybrid patrol car
“Cities have been asking us for solutions to reduce carbon emissions and costs, and agencies have been asking for greener police cars and greener pursuit vehicles,” said Kevin Koswick, director of Ford’s lease and remarking operations in North America. “We saw a need and we thought we could fulfill it.”
California Fights Back
The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency can reduce national fuel efficiency standards, but if it seeks to revoke California’s waiver that lets the state set its own, tougher rules, state lawmakers should fight back, including taking the agency to court if necessary.